As I’ve been reading in preparation for my course on July 19, “Did Jesus Really Exist” (a freebie!  Check it out at https://courses.bartehrman.com/did-jesus-really-exist. )  another thought occurred to me, about the similarities between “mythicist” writers (those supporting the idea that Jesus of Nazareth never did exist) and conservative Christian apologists.  They seem to have a lot in common, even though they take virtually the opposite views of things.

I suppose I noticed that long ago but never delved much into it.  But it was probably 15-20 years ago when I was struck by the fact that the mathematical principle, “Bayes’ Theorem” – which works to work out the probability of a cause based on the known effects, and which sure seems highly scientific (in the general sense), and in fact has been used to reach remarkable conclusions in a number of fields – has been applied by two scholars with respect to the historical Jesus: by Oxford philosopher Richard Swinburne, a deeply committed Christian, to demonstrate (on statistical probability) that Jesus was probably raised from the dead, and by independent scholar Richard Carrier, a deeply committed atheist, to demonstrate (using the very same method of establishing probability) that

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